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Goldman Sachs analysts predict that the European banking industry will be in a difficult situation in 2025. The challenges they face include low interest rates, slow growth and prominent political uncertainty.ECB source: A few policy makers initially agreed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.President of the European Central Bank: The euro zone economy continues to be weak and is still preparing to cut interest rates further. On December 12, local time, after the European Central Bank announced its decision to cut all three key interest rates by 25 basis points, President Lagarde of the European Central Bank subsequently held a press conference. She said that the Governing Council of the European Central Bank unanimously agreed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, mainly based on the latest assessment of the current inflationary pressure, future prospects and the transmission degree of monetary policy to the real economy. On the same day, the European Central Bank also released the latest macroeconomic forecast, further lowering its expectations for economic growth in the euro zone. Lagarde said that poor economic development and continued weakness are worrying. She said that trade friction may drag down economic growth, and extensive geopolitical development is one of the upward risks of inflation. In view of the fact that the current economic growth in the euro zone is hit by domestic political instability in various countries, especially large economies such as Germany and France, and may face the threat of punitive tariffs imposed by US President-elect Trump, the European Central Bank is still preparing to cut interest rates further. Lagarde said that the ECB Council is determined to ensure that inflation is sustainable and stable at the medium-term target of 2%. The next interest rate decision is scheduled for January 30, 2025.

The Israeli army said that the Hamas stronghold was not attacked by humanitarian vehicles. On the 12th local time, the Israel Defense Forces issued a statement saying that the Israeli army had "targeted" the two strongholds of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) militants in the south of the Gaza Strip the night before. The statement accused Hamas militants of moving along the route of transporting humanitarian aid in the south of the Gaza Strip, saying that the purpose of the Israeli army's actions was to make humanitarian aid safely reach the residents in the Gaza Strip. The statement stressed that the Israeli army did not attack the humanitarian aid truck. The official Palestinian news agency "Wafa" said on the 12th that Israeli forces bombed Rafah in the southern Gaza, killing 13 people. The medical staff in Rafah said that these people were protecting the aid trucks that arrived in the city, but they were attacked by Israeli troops.Fitch: The possible trade policy changes after the results of the 2024 election in the United States will bring risks in 2025 and may reduce the demand for shipping companies.Israeli military officials: They are preparing for possible attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities. On the 12th local time, Israeli military officials said that with the weakening of Iran's proxy groups in the Middle East and the stepping down of the Syrian Assad regime, the Israeli Air Force is preparing for possible attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities. The Israeli army believes that "isolated Iran may further advance its nuclear program." At present, the Israeli Air Force has destroyed most of Syria's air defense systems and believes that there is now an opportunity to launch an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities.

Market News: HSBC evaluates the retail banking business outside the UK and Hong Kong.UN spokesman: UN Secretary-General Guterres pays special attention to hundreds of air strikes by Israel on several locations in Syria. He stressed the urgent need to reduce the level of violence in all aspects of Syria.International copper closed down more than 1.1%, while Shanghai nickel and alumina rose more than 1.5% at most. International copper closed down 1.14%, Shanghai copper closed down 0.94%, Shanghai aluminum closed up 0.12%, Shanghai zinc closed down 0.83%, Shanghai lead closed down 0.37%, Shanghai nickel closed up 1.51% and Shanghai tin closed down 0.81%. Alumina closed up 1.04% at night. Stainless steel night trading closed down 0.23%.